papers & data

Peer-reviewed Publications

Mildenberger, M., Howe, P.D., Marlon, J.R., Leiserowitz, A. (submitted). The spatial distribution of U.S. Republican climate and energy opinions at state and local scales. Climatic Change Letters.

Zhang, B., Mildenberger M., Howe P.D., Marlon, J.R., Rosenthal S., Leiserowitz A. (in review). Quota sampling using Facebook advertisements. Political Science Research Methods.

Zhang B., Mildenberger M., van der Linden S., Marlon, J.R., Howe P.D., Leiserowitz A., (in review). Spatial variability in the experimental effects of climate messages.

Hawthorne, D., Mustaphi, C.J.C., Aleman, J., Blarquez, O., Colombaroli, D., Daniau, A-L., Marlon, J.R., Power, M., Vanniere, B., Carcaillet, C., Githumbi, E.N., Han, Y., Hantson, S., Kehrwald, N. Magi, B., Marchant, R., Ayodele, O., Muriuki, R., Yue, X. (in review). The modern Global Charcoal Database (mGCD): a tool to examine fire-proxy relationships, emissions, and spatial patterns of biomass burning. Quaternary International.

Itter, M., Finley, A.O., Hooten, M.B., Higuera, P.E., Marlon, J.R., Kelly, R., McLachlan, J.S. (2017). A Model-Based Approach to Wildland Fire Reconstruction Using Sediment Charcoal Records. Environmetrics, arXiv preprint arXiv:1612.02382.

Manning, J., Stine, A., Boos, W., Sigl, M., Marlon, J.R. (in press). Volcanic forcing triggers revolt and constrains interstate conflict in ancient Egypt. Nature Communications.

Marlon, J.R., Pederson, N., Nolan, C., Goring, S., Shuman, B., Booth, R., Bartlein, P., Berke, M.A., Clifford, M., Cook, E., Dieffenbacher-Krall, A., Dietz, M.C., Hessl, A., Hubeny, J.B., Jackson, S.T., Marsicek, J., McLachlan, J., Mock, C.J., Moore, D.J.P., Nichols, J., Robertson, A., Schaefer, K., Trouet, V. Umbanhowar, C., Williams, J.W., Yu, Z. (in review). Climatic history of the northeastern United States during the past 3000 years. Climate of the Past Discussions, doi:10.5194/cp-2016-104.

Marlon, J.R., van der Linden, S., Howe, P.D., Leiserowitz, A., Woo, S.H.L., Broad, K. (submitted). Detecting local environmental change: The role of experience in shaping risk judgments about global warming. Journal of Risk Research.

van Marle, M.J.E., Kloster, S., Magi, B., Marlon, J.R., Daniau, A-L, Field, R.D., Arneth, A., Forrest, M., Hantson, S., Kehrwald, N.M., Knorr, W., Lasslop, G., Li, F., Mangeon, S., Yue, C., Kaiser, J.W., van der Werf, G.R. (2017). Historic global biomass burning emissions based on merging satellite observations with proxies and fire models (1750-2015). Geoscientific Model Development 10, 3329-3357.

Kehrwald, N., Aleman, J. C., Coughlan, M., Mustaphi, C. J. C., Githumbi, E. N., Magi, B. I., Marlon, J. R., Power, M. J. (2016). One thousand years of fires: Integrating proxy and model data, Frontiers of Biogeography, 8(1).

Marlon, J.R., Kelly, R., A-L Daniau, B. Vannière, M. J. Power, P. Bartlein, P. Higuera, O. Blarquez, S. Brewer, T. Brücher, A. Feurdean, G. Gil Romera, V. Iglesias, S. Y. Maezumi, B. Magi, C. J. C. Mustaphi, T. Zhihai (2016). Reconstructions of biomass burning from sediment charcoal records to improve data-model comparisons. Biogeosciences 13, 3225-3244, doi:10.5194/bg-13-3225-2016.

Mildenberger, M., Howe, P.D., Lachapelle, E., Stokes, L., Marlon, J.R., Gravelle, T.B. (2016). The distribution of climate change public opinion in Canada. PLoSONE, Boslough, M., Nicoll, K., Daulton, T., Scott, A., Claeys, P., Gill, J.L. Marlon, J.R., Bartlein, P.J. (2015). Incomplete Bayesian Model Rejects Contradictory Radiocarbon Data for being Contradictory. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 112(49), E6722-E6722.

Howe, P., Mildenberger, M., Marlon J.R., Leiserowitz, A. (2015). Geographic variation in opinions on climate change at state and local scales in the USA. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/nclimate2583

Han, Y.M., An, Z.S., Marlon, J.R., Zhan, C.L. Sun, Y.B., Zhou, W.J., Arimoto, R., Huang, R.J., Cachier, H., Chen, L.-W.A., Koch, D., Wu, F., Wang, Q.Y., Wei, C., Cao, J.J. (submitted). A 2.6 Ma record of climate-regulated flaming and smoldering fires from the Chinese Loess Plateau.

Williams, A., Mooney, S., Sisson, S., Marlon J.R. (submitted). Exploring the relationship between Aboriginal population indices and fire in Australia over the last 20,000 years. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology, 432: 49-57.

Walsh,M., Marlon J.R., Goring, S., Brown, K., Gavin, D. (in press). A regional perspective on Holocene on fire-climate-human interactions in the Pacific Northwest. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 105(6), 1135-1157.

Blarquez, O., Bartlein, P.J., Vannière B., Marlon J. R., Daniau A. -L., Power M. J., Brewer S., Paleofire: An R package to analyse sedimentary charcoal records from the Global Charcoal Database to reconstruct past biomass burning (2014). Computers & Geosciences 72, 255-261.

Kehrwald, N.M., Whitlock, C., Barbante, C., Brovkin, V., Daniau, A.-L., Kaplan, J.O., Marlon, J.R., Power, M.J., Thonicke, K., Van der Werf, G.R. Fire research: Linking past, present, and future data. EOS 94(46), 421-422.

Brücher, T., Brovkin, V., Kloster, S., Marlon, J.R., Power, M.J., Comparing modelled fire dynamics with charcoal records for the Holocene (2014).Climate of the Past 10, 811-824. doi:10.5194/cp-10-811-2014.

McLauchlan, K.K., Higuera, P.E., Gavin, D.G., Perakis, S.P., Mack, M.M., Alexander, H., Battles, J., Biondi, F., Buma, B., Colombaroli, D., Enders, S., Engstrom, D.R., Hu, F.S., Marlon, J.R., Marshall, J., McGlone, M., Morris, J., Nave, L., Shuman, B., Smithwick, E., Urrego, D., Wardle, D., Williams, C., Williams, J.J. (2014). Reconstructing disturbances and their biogeochemical consequences over multiple timescales. Bioscience. doi:10.1093/biosci/bit017.

Quintana Krupinski, N.B., Marlon, J.R., Nishri, A., Street, J.H., Paytan, A. (2013). Climatic and human controls on the late Holocene fire history of northern Israel. Quaternary Research 80(3) 396-405.

Zennaro, P., Kehrwald, N.M., McConnell, J.R., Schüpbach, S., Maselli, O., Marlon, J.R., Vallelonga, P., Leuenberger, D., Zangrando, R., Spolaor, A., Borrotti, M., Barbaro, E., Gambaro, A., Barbante, C. (in review). Fire in ice: Two millennia of Northern Hemisphere fire history from the Greenland NEEM ice core.

Marlon, J.R., Bartlein, P.J., Daniau, A-L., Harrison, S.P., Power, M.J., Tinner, W., Maezumie, S., Vanniére, B. Global biomass burning: A synthesis and review of Holocene paleofire records and their controls (2013). Quaternary Science Reviews 65, 5-25. (Download charcoal data from Figs 6 & 8) | (Email for pre-print & other data)

Daniau, A-L., Sánchez Goñi, M.F., Martinez, P., Urrego, D.H., Bout-Roumazeilles, V., Desprat, S., Marlon, J.R.. Orbital-scale climate forcing of grassland burning in southern Africa (2013). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 110(13) doi:10.1073/pnas.1214292110. (Email for pre-print)

Marlon, J.R., Bartlein, P.J., Long, C., Gavin, D.G., Anderson, R.S., Briles, C. Brown, K.J., Colombaroli, D., Hallett, D.J., Power, M.J., Scharf, E.A., Walsh, M.K. A long-term perspective on wildfires in the western U.S. (2012) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. (Download PDF - Download Data: Fig 1, Fig 2, Fig 3, All data including Supp zipped)

Han, Y.M., Marlon, J.R., Cao, J.J., Jin, Z.D., An, Z.S. Synchronous variations in soot, char and climate in Asia. (2012) Global Biogeochemical Cycles 26(4)

Power, M.J., Mayle, F., Bartlein, P.J., Marlon, J.R., Anderson, R.S., Behling, H., Brown, K.J., Carcaillet, C., Colombaroli, D., Gavin, D.G., Hallett, D.J., Horn, S.P., Kennedy, L.M., Lane, C., Long, C., Moreno, P.I., Paitre, C., Robinson, G., Taylor, Z., Walsh., M. Biomass burning decline in the Americas after 1500 AD: population collapse or climate change? (2012) The Holocene 23(1) 3-13, doi:10.1177/0959683612450196.

Daniau, A.-L., Bartlein, P.J., Harrison, S.P., Prentice, I.C., Brewer, S., Friedlingstein, P., Harrison-Prentice, T.I. , Inoue, J., Marlon, J.R., Mooney, S., Power, M.J., Stevenson, J., Tinner, W., Andric, M., Atanassova, J., Behling, H., Black, M., Blarquez, O., Brown, K.J., Carcaillet, C., Colhoun, E.A., Colombaroli, D., Davis, B.A.S., D’Costa, D., Dodson, J., Dupont, L., Eshetu, A., Gavin, D.G., Genries, A., Gebru, T., Haberle, S., Hallett, D.J., Horn, S., Hope, G., Katamura. F., Kennedy, L., Kershaw, P., Krivonogov, S., Long, C., Magri, D., Marinova, E., McKenzie, G.M., Moreno, P.I., Moss, P., Neumann, F.H., Norström, E., Paitre, C., Rius, D., Roberts, N., Robinson, G., Sasaki, N., Scott, L., Takahara, H., Terwilliger, V., Thevenon, F., Turner, R.B., Valsecchi, V.G., Vannière, B., Walsh, M., Williams, N., Zhang, Y. Predictability of biomass burning in response to climate changes. (2012). Global Biogeochemical Cycles 26(4) DOI: 10.1029/2011GB004249. Data are on

Marlon, J.R., Cui, Q., Gaillard, M.-J., McWethy, D., Walsh, M.K. (2010). Humans and fire: Consequences of anthropogenic burning during the past 2 ka. PAGES news 18(2) 80-82. (Download PDF)

Power, M. J., Marlon, J. R., Bartlein, P. J., Harrison, S. P. (2010). Fire History and the Global Charcoal Database: A new tool for hypothesis testing and data exploration. Paleogeography, Paleoclimatology, Paleoecology 291(1), 52-59. (Email for pre-print)

Marlon, J.R., Bartlein, P.J., Walsh, M.K., Harrison, S.P., Brown, K.J., Edwards, M.E., Higuera, P.E., Power, M.J., Anderson, R.S., Briles, C., Brunelle, A., Carcaillet, C., Daniels, M., Hu, F.S., Lavoie, M., Long, C., Minckley, T., Richard, P.J.H., Shafer, D.S., Tinner, W., Umbanhowar, C.E. Jr. Wildfire responses to abrupt climate change in North America (2009). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106(8) 2519-2524. (Download data for Fig. 1) Email for pre-print

Marlon, J.R., Bartlein, P.J., Carcaillet, C., Gavin, D.G., Harrison, S.P., Higuera, P.E., Joos, F., Power, M.J., Prentice, I.C. (2008) Climate and human influences on global biomass burning over the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience. DOI:10.1038/ngeo313. (Download Data)

Power, M.J., Marlon, J., Ortiz, N.,  Bartlein, P.J., Harrison, S.P., Mayle, F.E.,  Ballouche, A., Bradshaw, R., Carcaillet, C., Cordova, C., Mooney, S., Moreno, P., Prentice, I.C., Thonicke, K., Tinner, W., Whitlock, C., Zhang, Y., Zhao, Y., Anderson, R.S., Beer, R., Behling, H., Briles, C., Brown, K.J., Brunelle A, Bush, M., Camill, P, Chu, G.Q., Clark, J., Colombaroli, D., Connor, S., Daniels, M., Daniau, A.-L., Dodson, J., Doughty, E., Edwards, M.E., Fisinger, W., Foster, D., Frechette J., Gaillard, M.-J., Gil-Romera, G. Gavin, D.G., Gobet, E., Haberle, S., Hallett, D.J., Higuera, P., Hope, G., Horn, S., Impagliazzo, S., Inoue, J., Kaltenrieder, P., Kennedy, L., Kong, Z.C., Larsen, C., Long, C.J., Lynch, J., Lynch, B., McGlone, M., Meeks, S., Mensing, S., Meyer, G., Minckley, T., Mohr, J., Nelson, D., New, J., Newnham, R., Noti, R., Oswald, W., Pierce, J., Richard, P.J.H., Rowe, C., Sanchez Goñi, M.F., Shuman, B.J., Takahara, H., Toney, J., Turney, C.., Umbanhowar, C., Vandergoes, M., Vanniere, B., Vescovi, E., Walsh, M., Wang, X., Williams, N., Wilmshurst, J., Zhang , J.H. (2008). Changes in fire regimes since the Last Glacial Maximum: an assessment based on a global synthesis and analysis of charcoal data. Climate Dynamics 30, 887-987. DOI: 10.1007/s00382-007-0334-x.

Whitlock, C., Marlon, J., Briles, C., Brunelle, A., Long, C., Bartlein, P.J. (2008). Long-term relations between fire, fuel, and climate in the northwestern U.S. International Journal of Wildland Fire, 17(1) 72–83.

Whitlock, C., Bianchi, M.M., Bartlein, P.J., Marlon, J., Walsh, M., and McCoy, N. (2006). Postglacial vegetation, climate, and fire history along the east side of the Andes (lat 41-42 S), Argentina. Quaternary Research, 66(2), 187-201. (Email for pre-print)

Marlon, J., Bartlein, P.J., and Whitlock, C. (2006). Fire-fuel-climate linkages in the northwestern United States during the Holocene.  The Holocene 16(8), 1059-1071. (Download PDF)

Whitlock, C., Shafer, S.L., and Marlon, J. (2003). The role of climate and vegetation change in shaping past and future fire regimes in the northwestern U.S. and the implications for ecosystem management. Forest Ecology and Management 178, 5-21. (Email for pre-print)

Other Publications

Leiserowitz, A., Maibach, E., Roser-Renouf, C., Feinberg, G., Rosenthal, S., Marlon, J.R. (2014) Climate Change in the American Mind - October 2014. Yale University. New Haven, CT: Yale Project on Climate Change Communication.

Marlon, J.R., Leiserowitz, A., and Feinberg, G. (2013) Scientific and Public Perspectives on Climate Change. Yale University. New Haven, CT: Yale Project on Climate Change Communication.

Weiler, C.S., Mitchell, R. and Marlon, J. (2013). DISCCRS VII Symposium Report. Online: (Download Report)

Phelam, L., Jones, H., Marlon, J.R., Bringing new PhDs together for interdisciplinary climate change research. EOS (in review).

Gill, J.L., J.L. Blois, S. Goring, J.R. Marlon, P.J. Bartlein, K. Nicoll, A.C. Scott & C. Whitlock (2012). Paleoecological changes at Lake Cuitzeo were not consistent with an extraterrestrial impact. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 109:E2243-E2243.

Leiserowitz, A., Smith, N., Marlon, J.R. (2011). American Teens’ Knowledge of Climate Change. Yale University. New Haven, CT: Yale Project on Climate Change Communication. (Download Report)

LeDee, O.E., Barnes, R.T., Emanuel, R., Fisher, P.B., Henkel, S.K., Marlon, J.R. Training a “New Scientist” to Meet the Challenges of a Changing Environment. (2011) EOS.

Harrison, S.P., Marlon, J.R. and Bartlein, P.J. (2010). Fire in the Earth system. In "Changing Climates, Earth Systems and Society." (J. Dodson, Ed.). International Year of Planet Earth. Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands. (Email for pre-print)

Marlon, J.R., Bartlein, P.J. (2010). Towards multiple working hypotheses. Current Anthropology. (Email for pre-print)

Leiserowitz, A., Smith, N., Marlon, J.R. (2010). Americans’ Knowledge of Climate Change. Yale University. New Haven, CT: Yale Project on Climate Change Communication. (Download Report (8MB, right-click to Save As...)

Marlon, J.R., Patenaude, G., Barnes, B. (2010). Catalyzing interdisciplinary research on climate change. EOS 91(34) 299. (Download Report)

Weiler, C.S., Mitchell, R. and Marlon, J. (2009). DISCCRS IV Symposium Report. Online: (Download Report)

Power, M.J., Marlon, J., Bartlein, P.J., and Harrison, S.P. (2008). Fire in the Earth system: The Global Palaeofire Working Group. Totnes, UK, 22-26 October 2007. Workshop Report. PAGES News 16(1), 39-40.

Marlon, J. (2003). A meta-analysis of charcoal-based fire history records from the northwestern United States. Thesis, University of Oregon, Eugene, Oregon.

Whitlock, C., Mohr, J., Minckley, T., and Marlon, J. (2001). Holocene vegetation and fire history from Cedar Lake, northern California.  A Final Report for Cooperative Agreement USFS PSW-99-0010CA, Pacific Southwest Research Station, USDA Forest Service, CA.

© 2011 Jenn Marlon